USD/JPY slides as Iran reopens Hormuz, WTI plunges and USD weakens

USD/JPY edges lower on Friday as the Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthens against a softer US Dollar (USD), with easing Oil prices providing additional support, given Japan’s heavy reliance on imported energy. At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 158.18, down 0.61% on the day.

PBoC: Targeted easing over broad cuts – DBS

DBS Group Research expects the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) to keep the 1-year Loan Prime Rate at 3.00% as Chinese growth has firmed and price dynamics improved. The report notes external demand is supporting industrial activity while domestic momentum is uneven.

Fed’s Waller: Will closely watch jobs data for growing signs of stress

Christopher Waller, a member of the Federal Reserve (Fed), speaks about the economic outlook and monetary policy at Auburn University in Alabama on Friday. He stated that the break-even rate for the job market is currently likely around zero.

CNY: On track to test 6.80 with strong local demand – Societe Generale

Societe Generale analysts flag that CNY is on course to test 6.80 for the first time in three years, even as the People's Bank of China (PBoC) moderates the pace of appreciation via weaker fixings.

USD/CHF falls as Iran declares Strait of Hormuz open

The Swiss Franc (CHF) strengthens against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, with USD/CHF on track for a second consecutive weekly decline as the Greenback remains under pressure amid improving market sentiment on hopes of a potential US-Iran deal.

Gold Price Analysis: Pullback Accelerates Amid Fed Repricing, Retail Liquidation

Gold price analysis suggests the probability of further downside as the stronger dollar weighs on the precious metal. The new Fed Chair nomination has triggered a wave of deeper retracement in gold after a strong rally. Gold’s structural support remains intact as central banks still buy, while US-Iran tension also maintains a safe-haven demand. Gold...

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AUD/USD Forecast: RBA Decision vs Hawkish Fed Risks Cap Near-Term Upside

The AUD/USD forecast edges to the downside despite a hotter inflation print as the yields fell sharply, suggesting only a single RBA hike in the near term. Trump’s nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair lifts the US dollar, as markets view the decision as less dovish. COT positioning suggests reduced AUD longs,...

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EUR/USD Weekly Forecast: Bulls Fading from Multi-Year Top Ahead of ECB, NFP

The EUR/USD weekly forecast points to a corrective downside despite the pair ending the week with net gains, as the US dollar recovered slightly. Upbeat US PPI and the Fed’s hold in its recent meeting lent room to the falling dollar. The markets will closely watch the ECB rate decision and US employment data for...

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GBP/USD Weekly Forecast: Firm USD Risks Break of 1.37, Eyes on BoE, NFP

The GBP/USD weekly forecast remains slightly subdued as the markets pared partial weekly gains amid dollar recovery and profit-taking. Fed’s data dependency and resilient UK economy continue to balance the GBP/USD. Market participants eye the US NFP and the BoE interest rate decision to gauge further directional bias. The GBP/USD price closed its second consecutive...

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Gold Outlook: Strong Selling Amid Firm Dollar Ahead of US PPI

The gold outlook remains slightly deteriorated after a 4% plunge in a single session amid profit-taking. The structural demand for gold stays intact, with institutional targets set at $6,200 by mid-2026. Gold’s path could be bumpy depending on US macroeconomic data releases. Gold has been experiencing increased volatility after breaking the $5,500 barrier. The metal...

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