ING Commodities Strategist Ewa Manthey notes that LME aluminium prices have jumped to a one‑month high as Middle East tensions revive supply concerns. She argues that risks are focused on regional physical premiums, especially in Europe and the US, rather than a broad tightening of global supply.
USD/JPY trades around 157.50 on Monday at the time of writing, up 0.84% on the day, moving closer to the February high at 157.66 and maintaining a bullish tone supported by the strength of the US Dollar (USD).
Rabobank links the Iran strikes to a broader US ‘Grand Macro Strategy’ under Trumpism, aimed at controlling key raw materials and energy flows that China relies on.
United States (US) Secretary of War Pete Hegseth claimed that he would never put a time frime to the Iran operation, saying he is worried that Iran has long-range strike capabilities that can hit the tactical operations center, causing US casualties at a Pentagon press conference on Monday.
Gold (XAU/USD) opens the week with a bullish gap amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, with the US-Iran war triggering a fresh wave of safe-haven demand. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $5,393, marking its highest level in over one month.