Asian FX: Geopolitics drives setback and two-way trade – OCBC

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong argue that Asian FX will likely unwind Friday’s rally after Iran’s renewed closure of the Strait of Hormuz. High‑beta KRW is seen leading the pullback, while TWD, INR, THB and PHP also soften on Oil sensitivity.

AUD/USD advances as softer US Dollar and RBA tightening outlook sustain bullish bias

AUD/USD edges higher on Monday as traders reassess US-Iran tensions after tensions escalated over the weekend around the Strait of Hormuz, while cautious optimism over a potential deal continues to weigh on the US Dollar (USD) and support the risk-sensitive Australian Dollar (AUD).

USD/CHF Price Forecast: Breakdown below 0.7800 extends downtrend

The USD/CHF pair tests a key support on Monday at a trendline after clearing the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 0.7828, which exacerbated the breach of 0.7800 and is now testing last week’s lows of 0.7775.

USD/JPY dips as US Dollar eases, Oil strength limits Yen gains

USD/JPY trades with a downside bias on Monday as the US Dollar (USD) gives up earlier gains amid hopes of a possible deal to end the US-Iran war, despite escalating tensions.

Dow Jones Industrial Average futures flat, Oil surges 5% on Iran escalation

Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) futures gapped lower at Sunday's reopen toward the 49,100 area but ground steadily higher through the US session to settle only marginally below Friday's closing handle near 49,400.

Gold Price Analysis: Pullback Accelerates Amid Fed Repricing, Retail Liquidation

Gold price analysis suggests the probability of further downside as the stronger dollar weighs on the precious metal. The new Fed Chair nomination has triggered a wave of deeper retracement in gold after a strong rally. Gold’s structural support remains intact as central banks still buy, while US-Iran tension also maintains a safe-haven demand. Gold...

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AUD/USD Forecast: RBA Decision vs Hawkish Fed Risks Cap Near-Term Upside

The AUD/USD forecast edges to the downside despite a hotter inflation print as the yields fell sharply, suggesting only a single RBA hike in the near term. Trump’s nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair lifts the US dollar, as markets view the decision as less dovish. COT positioning suggests reduced AUD longs,...

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EUR/USD Weekly Forecast: Bulls Fading from Multi-Year Top Ahead of ECB, NFP

The EUR/USD weekly forecast points to a corrective downside despite the pair ending the week with net gains, as the US dollar recovered slightly. Upbeat US PPI and the Fed’s hold in its recent meeting lent room to the falling dollar. The markets will closely watch the ECB rate decision and US employment data for...

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GBP/USD Weekly Forecast: Firm USD Risks Break of 1.37, Eyes on BoE, NFP

The GBP/USD weekly forecast remains slightly subdued as the markets pared partial weekly gains amid dollar recovery and profit-taking. Fed’s data dependency and resilient UK economy continue to balance the GBP/USD. Market participants eye the US NFP and the BoE interest rate decision to gauge further directional bias. The GBP/USD price closed its second consecutive...

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Gold Outlook: Strong Selling Amid Firm Dollar Ahead of US PPI

The gold outlook remains slightly deteriorated after a 4% plunge in a single session amid profit-taking. The structural demand for gold stays intact, with institutional targets set at $6,200 by mid-2026. Gold’s path could be bumpy depending on US macroeconomic data releases. Gold has been experiencing increased volatility after breaking the $5,500 barrier. The metal...

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