USD/ZAR: Rand unwind extends – ING

ING’s Chris Turner explains that previously popular long South African Rand positions are being unwound as low inflation comes under pressure, volatility rises and precious metals lose momentum.

United States Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count increased to 412 from previous 411

United States Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count increased to 412 from previous 411

WTI Oil prices steady near $95 as strategic reserves offset Middle East supply risks

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Oil trades around $95.30 on Friday at the time of writing, virtually unchanged for the day, as markets balance supply relief measures with escalating geopolitical risks in the Middle East.

Gold struggles as Oil-driven inflation fears weigh on global interest rate outlook

Gold (XAU/USD) extends its losses on Friday and remains on course for a second weekly decline as surging Oil prices stemming from the ongoing US-Iran war fuel inflation concerns and trigger a hawkish repricing of global interest-rate expectations, weighing on the non-yielding metal.

EM FX: Flows rotate on energy and risk – BNY

BNY’s iFlow data show heightened risk aversion, with bond buying concentrated in G10 and Eurozone debt while EM sovereigns are sold. FX flows highlight outflows from INR and EUR against demand for CNY and ZAR.

Gold Price Analysis: Pullback Accelerates Amid Fed Repricing, Retail Liquidation

Gold price analysis suggests the probability of further downside as the stronger dollar weighs on the precious metal. The new Fed Chair nomination has triggered a wave of deeper retracement in gold after a strong rally. Gold’s structural support remains intact as central banks still buy, while US-Iran tension also maintains a safe-haven demand. Gold...

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AUD/USD Forecast: RBA Decision vs Hawkish Fed Risks Cap Near-Term Upside

The AUD/USD forecast edges to the downside despite a hotter inflation print as the yields fell sharply, suggesting only a single RBA hike in the near term. Trump’s nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair lifts the US dollar, as markets view the decision as less dovish. COT positioning suggests reduced AUD longs,...

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EUR/USD Weekly Forecast: Bulls Fading from Multi-Year Top Ahead of ECB, NFP

The EUR/USD weekly forecast points to a corrective downside despite the pair ending the week with net gains, as the US dollar recovered slightly. Upbeat US PPI and the Fed’s hold in its recent meeting lent room to the falling dollar. The markets will closely watch the ECB rate decision and US employment data for...

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GBP/USD Weekly Forecast: Firm USD Risks Break of 1.37, Eyes on BoE, NFP

The GBP/USD weekly forecast remains slightly subdued as the markets pared partial weekly gains amid dollar recovery and profit-taking. Fed’s data dependency and resilient UK economy continue to balance the GBP/USD. Market participants eye the US NFP and the BoE interest rate decision to gauge further directional bias. The GBP/USD price closed its second consecutive...

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Gold Outlook: Strong Selling Amid Firm Dollar Ahead of US PPI

The gold outlook remains slightly deteriorated after a 4% plunge in a single session amid profit-taking. The structural demand for gold stays intact, with institutional targets set at $6,200 by mid-2026. Gold’s path could be bumpy depending on US macroeconomic data releases. Gold has been experiencing increased volatility after breaking the $5,500 barrier. The metal...

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