CAD: Loonie regains altitude on oil support – NBC

National Bank of Canada (NBC) strategists Stéfane Marion and Kyle Dahms note the Canadian Dollar (CAD) has rebounded sharply, with USD/CAD moving back toward 1.35 as higher Oil prices bolster Canada’s trade and fiscal outlook.

USD/INR stays near fresh record highs as risk aversion prevails

USD/INR extends gains for the third successive day, trading around the fresh record high of 95.40, during the Asian hours on Tuesday. Traders will likely observe India’s HSBC Composite and Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data to be released on Wednesday.

Fed: Warsh’s challenge and Q4 cuts – BNY

BNY’s John Velis reviews the April Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), highlighting four dissents against the easing bias and implications for future policy under incoming Chair Kevin Warsh.

Forex Today: RBA hikes policy rate, Strait of Hormuz tensions remain high

Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, May 5:

NZD/USD rebounds toward 0.5900 despite increased risk aversion

NZD/USD inches higher after two days of losses, trading around 0.5880 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair holds ground as the US Dollar (USD) lost its daily gains despite increased safe-haven demand following uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict.

Gold Price Analysis: Pullback Accelerates Amid Fed Repricing, Retail Liquidation

Gold price analysis suggests the probability of further downside as the stronger dollar weighs on the precious metal. The new Fed Chair nomination has triggered a wave of deeper retracement in gold after a strong rally. Gold’s structural support remains intact as central banks still buy, while US-Iran tension also maintains a safe-haven demand. Gold...

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AUD/USD Forecast: RBA Decision vs Hawkish Fed Risks Cap Near-Term Upside

The AUD/USD forecast edges to the downside despite a hotter inflation print as the yields fell sharply, suggesting only a single RBA hike in the near term. Trump’s nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair lifts the US dollar, as markets view the decision as less dovish. COT positioning suggests reduced AUD longs,...

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EUR/USD Weekly Forecast: Bulls Fading from Multi-Year Top Ahead of ECB, NFP

The EUR/USD weekly forecast points to a corrective downside despite the pair ending the week with net gains, as the US dollar recovered slightly. Upbeat US PPI and the Fed’s hold in its recent meeting lent room to the falling dollar. The markets will closely watch the ECB rate decision and US employment data for...

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GBP/USD Weekly Forecast: Firm USD Risks Break of 1.37, Eyes on BoE, NFP

The GBP/USD weekly forecast remains slightly subdued as the markets pared partial weekly gains amid dollar recovery and profit-taking. Fed’s data dependency and resilient UK economy continue to balance the GBP/USD. Market participants eye the US NFP and the BoE interest rate decision to gauge further directional bias. The GBP/USD price closed its second consecutive...

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Gold Outlook: Strong Selling Amid Firm Dollar Ahead of US PPI

The gold outlook remains slightly deteriorated after a 4% plunge in a single session amid profit-taking. The structural demand for gold stays intact, with institutional targets set at $6,200 by mid-2026. Gold’s path could be bumpy depending on US macroeconomic data releases. Gold has been experiencing increased volatility after breaking the $5,500 barrier. The metal...

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