Fed Minutes to provide clues on March hold as war-related inflation fears mount

The Federal Reserve (Fed) will publish its Minutes from the March 18 meeting on Wednesday. The release should be less about the decision itself and more about the officials’ “no rush to cut” narrative.

USD/JPY: Strong Yen with BoJ tightening support – Scotiabank

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret highlight that the Japanese Yen (JPY) has gained over 0.7% versus the US Dollar (USD) but still lags other G10 currencies as risk sentiment improves on the ceasefire.

United States 10-Year Note Auction climbed from previous 4.217% to 4.282%

United States 10-Year Note Auction climbed from previous 4.217% to 4.282%

Dow Jones Industrial Average futures surge 1,200 points on ceasefire, but cracks are emerging

Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) futures surged around 1,200 points on Wednesday, up close to 2.6%, after a last-minute diplomatic breakthrough averted what had been shaping up as a catastrophic escalation of the US-Iran war.

Hungary: Inflation set to reaccelerate – ING

ING economists Peter Virovacz and Zoltán Homolya note that Hungarian inflation in March 2026 surprised on the downside versus expectations but remained above February’s decade low.

Gold Price Analysis: Pullback Accelerates Amid Fed Repricing, Retail Liquidation

Gold price analysis suggests the probability of further downside as the stronger dollar weighs on the precious metal. The new Fed Chair nomination has triggered a wave of deeper retracement in gold after a strong rally. Gold’s structural support remains intact as central banks still buy, while US-Iran tension also maintains a safe-haven demand. Gold...

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AUD/USD Forecast: RBA Decision vs Hawkish Fed Risks Cap Near-Term Upside

The AUD/USD forecast edges to the downside despite a hotter inflation print as the yields fell sharply, suggesting only a single RBA hike in the near term. Trump’s nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair lifts the US dollar, as markets view the decision as less dovish. COT positioning suggests reduced AUD longs,...

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EUR/USD Weekly Forecast: Bulls Fading from Multi-Year Top Ahead of ECB, NFP

The EUR/USD weekly forecast points to a corrective downside despite the pair ending the week with net gains, as the US dollar recovered slightly. Upbeat US PPI and the Fed’s hold in its recent meeting lent room to the falling dollar. The markets will closely watch the ECB rate decision and US employment data for...

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GBP/USD Weekly Forecast: Firm USD Risks Break of 1.37, Eyes on BoE, NFP

The GBP/USD weekly forecast remains slightly subdued as the markets pared partial weekly gains amid dollar recovery and profit-taking. Fed’s data dependency and resilient UK economy continue to balance the GBP/USD. Market participants eye the US NFP and the BoE interest rate decision to gauge further directional bias. The GBP/USD price closed its second consecutive...

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Gold Outlook: Strong Selling Amid Firm Dollar Ahead of US PPI

The gold outlook remains slightly deteriorated after a 4% plunge in a single session amid profit-taking. The structural demand for gold stays intact, with institutional targets set at $6,200 by mid-2026. Gold’s path could be bumpy depending on US macroeconomic data releases. Gold has been experiencing increased volatility after breaking the $5,500 barrier. The metal...

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