EUR/USD slips as renewed Middle East tensions boost the Greenback

EUR/USD comes under renewed selling pressure on Monday as initial optimism surrounding a potential US-Iran peace deal fades amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1626, down nearly 0.30% on the day.

Euro: ECB seen acting as inflation risks rise – MUFG

Halpenny highlights that the ECB is widely expected to hike at its 11 June meeting, with markets focused on forward guidance for the Euro.

Japanese Yen falls amid strong US manufacturing data

The USD/JPY pair advances toward the 159.70 region, very close to intervention levels near 160.00, on Monday, as the United States Dollar (USD) strengthens following stronger-than-expected manufacturing data, while escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East keep market participants cautious

Polish Zloty: Cooling inflation supports steady rates for NBP – ING

ING economist Adam Antoniak expects the National Bank of Poland (NBP) to keep its main policy rate at 3.75% at the 2 June meeting and beyond, as May CPI surprised to the downside and remains within the target band.

Oil: Deep summer deficits even with Hormuz deal – TD Securities

TD Securities’ Senior Commodity Strategist Ryan McKay argues that Oil fundamentals will tighten materially even if a comprehensive deal fully reopens the Strait of Hormuz.

Gold Price Analysis: Pullback Accelerates Amid Fed Repricing, Retail Liquidation

Gold price analysis suggests the probability of further downside as the stronger dollar weighs on the precious metal. The new Fed Chair nomination has triggered a wave of deeper retracement in gold after a strong rally. Gold’s structural support remains intact as central banks still buy, while US-Iran tension also maintains a safe-haven demand. Gold...

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AUD/USD Forecast: RBA Decision vs Hawkish Fed Risks Cap Near-Term Upside

The AUD/USD forecast edges to the downside despite a hotter inflation print as the yields fell sharply, suggesting only a single RBA hike in the near term. Trump’s nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair lifts the US dollar, as markets view the decision as less dovish. COT positioning suggests reduced AUD longs,...

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EUR/USD Weekly Forecast: Bulls Fading from Multi-Year Top Ahead of ECB, NFP

The EUR/USD weekly forecast points to a corrective downside despite the pair ending the week with net gains, as the US dollar recovered slightly. Upbeat US PPI and the Fed’s hold in its recent meeting lent room to the falling dollar. The markets will closely watch the ECB rate decision and US employment data for...

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GBP/USD Weekly Forecast: Firm USD Risks Break of 1.37, Eyes on BoE, NFP

The GBP/USD weekly forecast remains slightly subdued as the markets pared partial weekly gains amid dollar recovery and profit-taking. Fed’s data dependency and resilient UK economy continue to balance the GBP/USD. Market participants eye the US NFP and the BoE interest rate decision to gauge further directional bias. The GBP/USD price closed its second consecutive...

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Gold Outlook: Strong Selling Amid Firm Dollar Ahead of US PPI

The gold outlook remains slightly deteriorated after a 4% plunge in a single session amid profit-taking. The structural demand for gold stays intact, with institutional targets set at $6,200 by mid-2026. Gold’s path could be bumpy depending on US macroeconomic data releases. Gold has been experiencing increased volatility after breaking the $5,500 barrier. The metal...

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