Forex4you's Blog (405)

EUR/USD: recovery possible

A recovery out the current consolidation is probable, with a move above the 1.3080 highs confirming and leading to a move back up to the cluster of pivots located at 1.3115, or even the support and resistance line at 1.3160. Alternatively a break below the 1.3040 lows could see a move down to the trend-line at 1.3010 or possibly the 50-day MA at 1.2975.…

EUR/USD: boxed in

The EUR/USD pair is consolidating in a narrow range today although the mid-term trend remains up. A break above the 1.3093 highs could lead to rally to a tight group of pivots at 1.3120, with a break above those levels necessary for a reassertion of the bull trend. A move below the 1.3055 lows could see a move down to the 1.3000 lows, whilst a major trend-line provides support at around 1.2970.…

EUR/USD: sideways day

The short-term trend is still up after the recent break of the neckline of an inverted head and shoulders and more upside is probable eventually. Today's action, however, is sideways and could continue oscillating. A move above 1.3140 would signal a continuation up to 1.3245, whilst a move below 1.3100 could see a break back down to 1.3050.…

EUR/USD: moving lower

Eurodollar has renewed its down-trend after touching resistance from an old trend-line. It will probably fall further, reaching perhaps down to recent 1.3000 lows and probably even to where the 50-day MA and a major trend-line are situated at 1.2960. Alternatively, a break above the 1.3060s would be necessary for an up-trend to develop, later targeting resistance at 1.3100.…

EUR/USD: downtrend continuing

The exchange rate has broken out the price pattern at the highs and reached its downside target at 1.3015. There are, however, no signs yet of the down-trend slowing and so it could continue to the next level of support at 1.2960, where the 50-day MA is situated. Alternatively, a sideways consolidation may unfold, followed by a bounce perhaps, with a decisive break above 1.3050 then targeting 1.3115.…

EUR/USD: possible breakdown

There has been a break down out of the price pattern at the highs and whilst the pair has recovered, it is probable a trend reversal down may be happening. The monthly pivot at 1.3115 underpins support and would have to be decisively breached to give a stronger bearish signal, with a target first at 1.3080, and then 1.3015. Alternatively it would require a break back above 1.3195 to re-establish a bull trend with the range highs at 1.3300…

EUR/USD: At range highs

The EUR/USD has risen strongly to the range highs and the weekly pivot. There is the possibility, either of a break higher, with a decisive break above 1.3300 leading to to a move up to the monthly pivot at 1.3355 and then 1.3400. Alternatively, it could continue consolidating and move back down into the range, targeting 1.3220 support initially and then range lows perhaps at 1.3180.…

EUR/USD: consolidation unfolding

Eurodollar has stopped rallying and is in a consolidation phase. Currently it is falling within its range and it will probably fall further to the range lows at about 1.3145. There is a possibility the consolidation will continue unfolding and then break higher, with 1.3500 providing the next upside target for the pair, alternatively deeper declines could see it fall to support at 1.3119.…

EUR/USD: continuation higher

The trend up continues, strengthened by the break of the 1.3168 highs. Price is now also starting to breach the upper channel line of the current rally - a sign of surprising strength. It is also breaking above the weekly and monthly pivots clustered at 1.3258. If these fail then the next upside target might be 1.3485; any weakness, however, would be likely to return to the 1.3230-40 consolidation zone.…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

Eurodollar continues to consolidate in a pennant or triangle formation. It will probably eventually break higher, with a decisive move above the 1.3187 highs acting as confirmation, or possibly even 1.3195 for added safety. Then it should reach 1.3255 where the monthly and weekly pivots coincide. Obstacles below the pattern may impede downside, first at 1.3119 and then the consolidation zone between 1.3080 and 1.3110.…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

Eurodollar has been going sideways today with no firm trend in either direction. There may be a double top price pattern visible on the hourly chart, with a neckline at 1.3055 and a downside target at 1.3015. The short-term trend is still up, however, and favours more upside but any bullish potential is capped by resistance form the monthly pivot at 1.3120.…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

The triangle on eurodollar on Monday ended up breaking out higher and fulfilling its 1.2975 target. It will now probably correct back in a final wave lower, perhaps to the 50-day MA at 1.2925, or maybe even to support at 1.2905. After that it is possible the up-trend will resume and target 1.3000 first and then probably between 1.3060-80 where an old trend-line may resist further gains.…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

Eurodollar has corrected back from a strong resistance level of pivots situated at 1.3120. It has found support at the trend-line at 1.3090. Overall the up-trend is still intact and it will probably recover, with 1.3167 still a key level, which if breached could lead to a strong move higher; however, a break below 1.3050 is a possibility and would open the way to a move down to 1.3000, if the pull-back extends.…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

A fulcrum reversal pattern at the highs on the daily chart as well as a 2-bar reversal warns of weakness. Shorter term, however, there may be a bounce to trend-line resistance at around 1.3085, but after that the descent will probably resume, finding support at 1.3025, whilst a move below 1.2975 would give bearish confirmation and see a possible run down to 1.2850. A break above 1.3110 would help confirm a bullish continuation, targeting…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

Eurodollar has started to consolidate in a range at the highs. It will still probably rise higher with a decisive break above the top of the range at 1.3125 leading to a probable run up to the old highs and the monthly pivot resisting at 1.3175. However, there is also the possibility the pair may correct back given signs of exhaustion on the 4-hr chart, and a move below the range at 1.3084 could see a breakdown to resistance-turned-support…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

Eurodollar bounced yesterday and has rallied further today. It has now reached an old resistance line from where it will probably fall back down, reaching perhaps the 1.2920 lows. A breach of them could open the way to a sell-off back down to the monthly pivot at 1.2840. Alternatively a decisive break higher could see a move up to 1.3000 although those key highs would have to be breached for a renewal of the bullish outlook.…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

Eurodollar has formed a double bottom at yesterday's lows and has managed to remain above the upper line of the wedge. Momentum is converging bullishly and we will probably see a rally from here. A rise above the neckline at 1.2913 would target 1.3000 – although a nearer target would be the tough level of resistance at 1.2970. A re-break of the 1.2824 lows would lead to a renewal of the down-trend perhaps to support at 1.2775.…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

The EUR/USD pair has reached support from the channel-line of the July rally and the monthly pivot. It will probably make a bounce from here. Bullish confirmation could come from a move above 1.2885. It will probably reach the cluster of moving averages at 1.2940 first and then eventually round-number resistance at 1.3000. A break below Tuesday's lows at 1.2833 might initiate a continuation down, although another major trend-line at 1.2785…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

Eurodollar has fallen sharply this morning and has re-touched support from the upper line of the wedge formation. The move down has been very strong and rapid and there is a chance that it will break through the support and fall more deeply, reaching 1.2850. A bounce, however, would probably see a move up to 1.2950, before then likely resuming its descent.…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

Eurodollar has stalled a little this morning. The current level lies close to the monthly pivot, which could mean we are at a reversal point and the exchange rate could roll over here. A break back down below 1.2761 would give a strong confirmation signal, with 1.2700 then in sight. A move above 1.2803, however, could see it push higher to the major multi-month trend-line at 1.2900 where it will probably stop because of…