Forex4you's Blog (405)

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

Eurodollar has moved up to the upper channel line and hit resistance. It has also finished an A-B-C formation and therefore it will probably fall from here, down to perhaps support at 1.2625, although there are no reversal signs from price yet. The other alternative is a move higher, however , this would constitute a breakout from the channel and is a little less likely. A strong move above 1.2695 or so might signal such a breakout with the…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

Eurodollar has reached a strong level of resistance at the 1.2625 mark where price has been repulsed several times before. A shooting star candlestick has already formed on the hourly chart and if a move lower evolves then it will probably reach support from moving averages at 1.2565. A move to the bottom of the range at 1.2510 is also possible. Another possibility is a move higher to the top of the channel at 1.2650 – or even an upside…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

Eurodollar has pushed lower, breaking down though the neckline of the double top and almost reaching the profit target at 1.2475. Now it has rebounded and begun moving higher again. This is probably a counter-trend move, or Elliot wave 4 of the move down and will probably move up to the 1.2555/60 level where clustered resistance should turn it back lower again – although wait for confirmation - and it may then reach the 1.2475 level of the…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

The EUR/USD is still in a counter-trend rally. It is unlikely to be the start of a new trend higher and therefore will probably roll-over. Currently there is a possibility the pair could be starting a move down to 1.2550. If it goes below there it would constitute a break of the neckline of a double top pattern and target 1.2475. If the trend continues tracking higher, however, it could also reach resistance from the upper channel line at…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

The EUR/USD pair is meandering without much direction at the moment. The deadening volume may be put down to a substantial portion of the market standing aside in anticipation of Jackson Hole. Nevertheless, the pair is still in an upward short-term trend, albeit within a larger downward longer-term trend, and it will probably continue since there are no signs of reversal. The next upside target would be at the upper channel line at 1.2635…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

Eurodollar has pulled back after a sharp rally. It will probably resume its move higher and re-test the upper channel line at 1.2615. The bigger picture, however, indicates the formation of what is probably a fulcrum pattern on the 4-hour chart and this is a bearish reversal sign. A break below the bottom of the pattern at 1.2465 would be strong confirmation of more downside with the lower channel line at 1.2400 providing an initial…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

Earlier forecasts, expecting that retracement below 1.2360/50 level would indicate bigger possibility of resuming downtrend, confirmed. The price plummeted and is now testing 1.2270 level, which is the first barrier, protecting 1.2270-1.2230 support range, mentioned earlier as the key barrier on the way down. Indicators are bearish, suggesting further decline and giving reasons to expect the above mentioned support to be breached. If it…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

Overall the outlook has turned bearish for eurodollar now that the pair has broken down below the 1.2300 level and back into its channel. My preference is for a continuation down to trend-line support at 1.2215 particularly if the 1.2360 lows are broken. Signs of short-term strength, however, could act as a spoiler, with a double-bottom on the hourly chart and a break above 1.2305 triggering a rally up to 1.2345 – possibly taking bears by…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

Eurodollar is still stuck plum in the centre of a range. Currently it is falling and looks set to re-test yesterday's 1.2325 lows and probably even reach support at 1.2305. A bearish topping pattern has also formed. As stated before a break below 1.2300 would be a very bearish sign and open the way to 1.2210; whilst a breach above 1.2386 could see a short-covering recovery to the range highs at 1.2445.…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

Short-term uptrend (blue) line has led the price to 1. 2520/00 support, like expected, where it still resides, attempting to test this barrier. Indicators suggest further decline. The only question is whether the bears manage to breach 1.2520/00 level or not. If they do, the price will drop further down to 1.2430/15 level, and then to local minimums, found at 1.2280/70 support. Should trading retrace above 1.2650 resistance, the alternative…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

Bulls failed to push the price up to 1.2800 level, trading continued within sideways range, close to the local maximums and is currently carried out at 1.2650/60 level. Indicators suggest to expect a possible reversal down. If the price breaches a short-term uptrend (blue) line within 1.2600-1.2580 support range, it’ll be a signal for another decline towards 1. 2520/00 level, and may be even lower to the minimums at 1.2280/70 support.…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

The pair is still climbing within a channel. It will probably continue higher and possibly re-touch the 1.2750 highs, or even the upper channel line at 1.2790. If there is a fall back down then the monthly pivot underpins support at 1.2660, although a breach of that would probably lead to a move down to the lower channel-line at 1.2615.…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

Bearish trend recommenced, trading is currently carried out at 1.2340/30 level. Indicators suggest further downtrend, which gives reasons to expect earlier forecast to confirm. Decline towards 1.2240/50 support is the most possible scenario. If this barrier on the way down doesn't hold back the bears, level 1.2160/45 will be tested next and the price will most likely commence its decline towards 2010 minimum - level 1.1880/90.…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

The price declined lower and breached 1.2470 level, mentioned earlier as the target. At the moment the price is attempting to hold below this support, trading is carried out at 1.2450/40 level. If the bears succeed, the next target at 1.2400/1.2390 support will be tested any time soon after. On the other hand, currently forming MACD divergence suggest to be cautious and consider a possibility of the upcoming large-scale pullback. The fact,…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

Eurodollar has rebounded from its lows today and - although it is stalling right now - there is the possibility of a move higher to the top of the range at around 1.2600. After that a sideways consolidation range could unfold before the next strong trending move. Alternatively another strong break lower would target the support level at 1.2395 and longer-term this level will probably be reached eventually as the outlook remains…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

A shooting star on the 4-hr chart is warning of further downside and there is the possibility of a bearish move to fill the gap at 1.2520. Beyond that the outlook is balanced as the head and shoulder's pattern has reached its downside target at 1.2525 and Friday formed an inverted hammer which could forecast more upside. If today remains above Friday's lows then it is possible there will be a reversal upswing, reaching 1.2642 at first and…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

The rebound from the 1.2510 lows this morning looks vulnerable to breakdown and there is a bearish shooting star on the hourly sitting on the 50 hour MA, which could signal a retest of the lows again and either a basing process will start or the pair will fall even lower. If there is no retest, however, and the rally extends higher, a possible target to the upside could be the 1.2645 level where the monthly and weekly pivots are…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

The price breached 1.2620 support, which indicated further possible decline towards new local minimums. Trading is currently carried out at 1.2550/40 levels. Indicators are turned down, suggesting to expect new targets to be tested at 1.2470 - 1.2400/1.2390 levels. However, a cluster of strong supports on the way may halt the pair and trigger consolidation with 1.2620/25 resistance as the upper bound.…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

The key reversal on Friday indicates the bullish rebound will probably continue higher. Today, however, we are pulling back, probably temporarily, perhaps down to the 50% retracement of the previous rally at 1.2725. This could be the B wave of an ABC with C still to come. When the correction has completed it could start to rally again with an upside target, initially, at the previous highs of 1.2810 but then probably at wave equality with…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

Eurodollar is forming reversal patterns at the lows which could indicate a bounce if confirmed. A hammer is forming on the daily and 4-hr charts. The measuring gap target at 1.2730 has been reached; the weekly pivot is supporting and not far below is the rarely touched S3 monthly pivot. There is further support from old trend-lines on the 50 pip and 10 pip point and figure charts. A bounce higher would probably reach resistance at 1.2810…