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EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

The price reached 1.2900 target, mentioned in the previous analysis. The "bears" are now making attempts to breach this support. Trading is being carried out around 1.2910/15 levels. Indicators suggest a downtrend, so the "bearish" attempts have all chances to turn out successful. If the barrier is breached, the next target will be found at 1.2800/20 level. On the other hand, the price has recently approached its yearly minimums, which…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

Eurodollar is still meandering in a tight consolidation zone. A small rally this morning did however reach resistance from the trend-line at 1.3080 and this could push the exchange rate back down to the range lows at around 1.3030, given the overall downside bias. No major moves are expected until volume picks up after the Christmas break.…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

The corrective pull-back this morning has signalled a short-term reaction. Despite a bigger picture which remains bearish the current rally may still go a little higher, to perhaps either 1.3085 or if particularly strong then the cluster of pivots and resistance levels at 1.3150. After that the broader down-trend should resume, with the old lows at 1.2950 targeted eventually.…

In the near term look for a neutral outlook, With a push thru 1.3543 my overall Bearish outlook remains the same, the market makers and liquidity providers were having a field day with traders at US market pre open pushing price to the top of the channel. Immediate support remains around 1.3420/00 area. A clear break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure testing the lower line of the bullish channel but we need a clear break below the bullish channel and 1.3300 – 1.3270…

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EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

Eurodollar is still moving within a range although the bias is turning to the downside. Whilst it has just fallen down another level at the time of writing and reached support at 1.3680 there is still insufficient evidence to support a bearish break down yet. A break of the current levels would, however, be key in opening the door to the next target at 1.3480. If eurodollar recovers, on the other hand, then in the short term it will…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

Eurodollar has bounced sharply and it will probably continue rallying until it has reached resistance from the R1 pivot and the recent highs at 1.3835 – with to 50% fib line at 1.3925 as the next target if it continues. This is probably a counter-trend correction, however, and the pair should eventually roll-over and begin a new wave formation down, which should surpass the 1.3607 lows and probably reach channel-line support at 1.3535…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

Eurodollar has bounced sharply and it will probably continue rallying until it has reached resistance from the R1 pivot and the recent highs at 1.3835 – with to 50% fib line at 1.3925 as the next target if it continues. This is probably a counter-trend correction, however, and the pair should eventually roll-over and begin a new wave formation down, which should surpass the 1.3607 lows and probably reach channel-line support at 1.3535…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

Earlier forecasts, expecting further sideways consolidation, confirmed. Having escaped from the consolidation range, the price continued its decline, so it now resides around 1.3990/1.4000 levels. Indicators have turned down, except for  SS, which gives reasons to consider further growth possible. If  1.3920/00 support is breached, we’ll be anticipating a reversal down. On the other hand, the bullish potential is still strong, so…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

Eurodollar's bounce has stalled. There is also a slanting H&S pattern at the highs. If the pattern breaks through its neckline it could reach support at 1.3200 or even the former lows at 1.3155 . However it is equally possible the rally could continue higher with the former highs at 1.3368 targeted at first and then the R1 pivot at 1.3430.…

USDCAD

Last week showed a fantastic bullish break and surge of more than 200 pips above parity for the Loonie, reaching the weekly 161.8% extension on the previous swing high, and closing well above the 138.2% level after a small correction. Both our targets at the weekly SMA100 and the projection of the flag pole at 1.0238/40 were met, the…

USDJPY

The Dollar-Yen didn’t reach the lows and remained last week in a tight range between round numbers 76.00 and 77.00. We could be having a double bottom on the daily charts and my expectations are for a bullish break of the confluence of the daily SMA34 and middle line of the Bollinger bands, targeting the resistance at previous highs…

EURCHF

The Euro-Swiss Franc made a new high last week at 1.2340, reaching and breaking above our target at the weekly SMA34 level. We are still away from the descending trend line and price could be contained by the strong resistance area between 1.2350 and 1.2390, with also the daily SMA200 in the middle. If that level is broken, we might…

EURUSD

Last week the markets opened with a downside gap for the Euro-Dollar, briefly closed for a continuation and small breach of the previous week’s lows, as expected in our bearish scenario, and finally ending at about the same price, just above round number 1.3500. I would expect further downside for this pair, targeting the daily 127%…

I didn’t expect the downwards gap in my previous analysis and we had a nice descent afterwards, retest and small breach of previous lows at 1.0180. However, we can see on the hourly charts that price bounced neatly from the trendline that is binding those to August lows, and seems to be recovering to the upside. This could be the end of an Elliott Wave 5 and the subsequent projection of the next C wave at a 38.2% retracement on wave 2, brings us to around 1.0360.…

USDJPY

As expected, the Dollar-Yen went back to the lows of the previous week, and stayed inside a range from Wednesday to Friday. There is no clear direction for this pair as of now, although I would expect some bearish continuation if the bottom at 76.00 is broken, in extension towards 71.80, 70.30 and 66.30 as successive medium-to-long-term…