All Blog Posts (1,487)

Healthy respect for the markets

Markets are powerful things. When you first start trading, you are likely to hear a lot about the risk that comes with the potential opportunities in trading. Don't just pay it a lip-service. It is important that before you risk one dollar, you…

Knowing your way around a chart   



For most traders, charts are like their road maps to potential trades. Technicians see potential patterns, key clues that they interpret for trading opportunities. Fundamentalists see confirmation of news stories or supply and demand dynamics playing out in the price fluctuations. Charts are indispensible to traders



Understanding what a chart is telling you is paramount for traders

We are going to…

Is this a new normal where little-to-no job growth is, well, “normal?”  Friday’s employment data was very sub-par again.…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

Eurodollar has stalled a little this morning. The current level lies close to the monthly pivot, which could mean we are at a reversal point and the exchange rate could roll over here. A break back down below 1.2761 would give a strong confirmation signal, with 1.2700 then in sight. A move above 1.2803, however, could see it push higher to the major multi-month trend-line at 1.2900 where it will probably stop because of…

Trade with a Plan – Setting Your Limits    

  

I think trading with a specific plan is one of the most sensible things a trader can do. It helps you learn and identify key areas to watch for in a market. More importantly, it helps you avoid sabotaging yourself because it helps keep your emotions in check. One of the key components of a trading plan is knowing your exits. One way to close an open trading position is with a limit order.  …

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

Eurodollar has moved up to the upper channel line and hit resistance. It has also finished an A-B-C formation and therefore it will probably fall from here, down to perhaps support at 1.2625, although there are no reversal signs from price yet. The other alternative is a move higher, however , this would constitute a breakout from the channel and is a little less likely. A strong move above 1.2695 or so might signal such a breakout with the…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

Eurodollar has reached a strong level of resistance at the 1.2625 mark where price has been repulsed several times before. A shooting star candlestick has already formed on the hourly chart and if a move lower evolves then it will probably reach support from moving averages at 1.2565. A move to the bottom of the range at 1.2510 is also possible. Another possibility is a move higher to the top of the channel at 1.2650 – or even an upside…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

Eurodollar has pushed lower, breaking down though the neckline of the double top and almost reaching the profit target at 1.2475. Now it has rebounded and begun moving higher again. This is probably a counter-trend move, or Elliot wave 4 of the move down and will probably move up to the 1.2555/60 level where clustered resistance should turn it back lower again – although wait for confirmation - and it may then reach the 1.2475 level of the…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

The EUR/USD is still in a counter-trend rally. It is unlikely to be the start of a new trend higher and therefore will probably roll-over. Currently there is a possibility the pair could be starting a move down to 1.2550. If it goes below there it would constitute a break of the neckline of a double top pattern and target 1.2475. If the trend continues tracking higher, however, it could also reach resistance from the upper channel line at…

I thought it was unusual that nobody in the Lame Street Media mentioned the recent momentous accomplishment of the Obama administration: it has already racked up enough (current) DEBT, when added to the prior DEBT, equates to a sickening $16,000,000,000,000.00 (that’s trillion$) in the red.  Yes sir, like Fraud Street, Congress just keeps kicking that can down the road that never seems to end. But when it might, Congress decrees that another 10 miles of road lay beyond the horizon…jut…

There isn’t much left to say before the J-Hole symposium.  The market is dead, there’s no volatility and little volume.  Whether Bernanke green lights QE3 or not, one still wonders if there will be better trading ranges.  Only time will tell and time is running out.



The following is Morgan Stanley’s take on it…



Vincent Reinhart, Morgan Stanley: The Message from the Mountains



We have had low expectations for significant…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

The EUR/USD pair is meandering without much direction at the moment. The deadening volume may be put down to a substantial portion of the market standing aside in anticipation of Jackson Hole. Nevertheless, the pair is still in an upward short-term trend, albeit within a larger downward longer-term trend, and it will probably continue since there are no signs of reversal. The next upside target would be at the upper channel line at 1.2635…

Foreclosure happens when the lender takes away your home, turns you out from it and sells it off to get back his money. This can happen, if you default on the loan payments, or if you are unable to make even the minimum payments. In fact, as per the reports, foreclosures have been happening at a record rate in the US. Foreclosure neither is good for you or your lender. This is because, foreclosure is a legal and complex process, which also is a costly affair too. In such a situation, home …

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

Eurodollar has pulled back after a sharp rally. It will probably resume its move higher and re-test the upper channel line at 1.2615. The bigger picture, however, indicates the formation of what is probably a fulcrum pattern on the 4-hour chart and this is a bearish reversal sign. A break below the bottom of the pattern at 1.2465 would be strong confirmation of more downside with the lower channel line at 1.2400 providing an initial…

Providio's Daily Futures Market Commentary for 8/27/2012



HEADLINE COMMENTARY:

27August

Light action on very light Volume with Tropical Storm Isaac threatening off the Gulf Coast.

However, even though the economic calendar seems to be ramping up this week (see below),…

Do you like poorly crafted movie sequels? It seems like there hasn’t been an original movie blockbuster in forever. The money making formula in Hollywood appears to be: take a movie that made money on the first go, slightly change the plot, and then release the sequel, the prequel, the 3-D version until they’ve milked every last dollar out of the original idea.  “Finding Nemo” in 3-D would be the latest version.



Sadly things aren’t all that different in the markets. Friday’s…